C'est l'histoire d'un parti politique qui a fait un bel ECFA et qui ne veut pas le montrer à personne.Ni à l'opposition, ni au peuple. Par contre, au WTO, ça va. Alors les taiwanais en sont réduits à attendre la traduction en anglais de gens qui ne sont même pas capables de dire Taiwan, puisqu'ils prononcent "Chinese Taipei". Aie!
Chapitre 12 : Alors : Faut-il faire confiance au WTO pour retranscrire fidèlement l'ECFA ?
Extraits :
- "[WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy ] invariably referred to [Taiwan] as “Chinese Taipei.” He did not even use Taiwan’s official name as a WTO member, the (admittedly tongue-twisting) Separate Customs Territory of Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen and Matsu, or a more convenient shorthand, such as Republic of China."
- "The “Chinese Taipei” designation is obviously a concession on the part of the WTO to please Beijing, and raises questions about the world body’s ability to properly “review” the ECFA documents that, once translated into English, Taipei and Beijing will be submitting to it."
Taiwan et la Corée du Sud, dans une course économique concurrentielle:
Voici un article très intéressant, comparant les économies de Taiwan et de la Corée du Sud, montrant notamment que la Corée du Sud dépassa Taiwan en 2004, et que Taiwan espère repasser en tête avec l'ECFA :
Extraits :
- "Among the four Asian tigers, Taiwan and South Korea have similar industrial development patterns, both promoting the manufacturing sector, while Hong Kong and Singapore are city-state economies, with more service-oriented economies."
- "Before the Asian financial crisis in 1997, Taiwan surpassed South Korea in economic growth, industrial development, and living standards. However, since 1997, South Korea has outperformed Taiwan by building up super brand names like Samsung, LG and others. In 2000, South Korea’s per capita GDP was only 77 percent of Taiwan’s. The two were tied in 2004. But in 2007 the Koreans enjoyed a 26 percent higher GDP than the Taiwanese."
ECFA apparaitrait comme mutuellement bénéfique, la souveraineté de Taiwan n'aurait pas été blessée par l'ECFA:
Voici un avis interessant :
Extraits:
- "Judging from the results, Taiwan managed to look good, while mainland China succeeding in getting what it wanted."
- "the mainland gave virtually no ground on the items it wanted to protect. An evaluation of the accord shows that the contents of the early harvest list are actually mutually beneficial."
- "The “framework” of the ECFA is very similar to that of the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation (ASEAN Plus One) that mainland China signed with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in November 2002. The opposition’s claim that the ECFA reduces the status of the ROC is completely unfounded."
- "Under the principles of the World Trade Organization, the two signatories to the ECFA are equal WTO members, while ASEAN Plus One was concluded on a nation-to-nation basis."
- "it is meaningless to compare the value of tariff reductions, revenue losses, number of items or their value. Instead, one must look at how reducing tariffs to zero will help individual sectors on the list expand their operations, increase their market share across the strait and stimulate their domestic employment."
- "The success of the early harvest list depends less on businesspeople’s degree of satisfaction than on their ability to adapt to it."
- "Many sectors that fought hard for inclusion, such as petrochemicals and machinery, were disappointed with the early harvest list. The petrochemical products that made it onto the list are mostly low-tariff, high-polluting low-end ones, while the most competitive high-end computer-controlled machine tools did not make it at all."
- "Due to conflicts with the mainland’s industrial policies, most of the “six emerging industries” promoted by Taiwan (high-end agriculture, green energy, medicine and health care, biotechnology, culture and creation, and tourism) failed to make the list as well."
Pour se détendre un peu : Rigolons une minute (seconde?) avec la Propagande anti-ECFA
Pendant ce temps-là, ça se prépare en Chine :
Extrait :
- the provincial government is working to develop a Western Taiwan Straits Economic Zone, a national pilot economic zone for cross-Straits exchange and cooperation.
Chapitre 13 : Est-ce que le peuple taiwanais est satisfait de la signature de l'ECFA ?
C'est une bonne question, merci de l'avoir posée, et d'y répondre :
Extraits :
- "Analysis: A week after historic pact, many Taiwanese worry that they did the wrong thing. Is it a vitamin, or a poison pill?"
- "A week after China and Taiwan signed a landmark trade deal binding their economies closer, Taiwanese can't decide if they've been thrown an economic life-line or, as one paper put it, signed a political "suicide note." And that's the experts."
- "Strange to say, it was signed by two countries who don't recognize each other's existence. In fact, they're technically still in a state of hostilities. China covets self-ruled Taiwan and has some 1,300 missiles piled up across from the island as a reminder it shouldn't be naughty (i.e., make a formal, permanent break with the mainland.)"
- "China's claim is long-standing. But instead of bellicose threats, Beijing has begun using the honey of economic enticements to catch the fly. ECFA's terms heavily favor Taiwan, with tariff reductions on 539 Taiwanese exports to China versus just 267 Chinese exports to Taiwan. In other words, it's a big, fat dollop of honey."
- "they worry about over-dependence. Already, some 35 percent of Taiwan's exports go to China; after the deal some say that percentage could rise to 45 percent or even 50 percent. "That ratio's too high — it's dangerous," said Hwang Jen-te, an economist at National Chengchi University. "It will endanger Taiwan's economic security; we have to consider this."
